Cumulative Risk Indicators. A cumulative risk index (CRI) is not a fixed metric, and the indicators that make up such an index vary across studies, depending on purpose of the study, research design, as well as previously identified risk factors in the research literature. In accordance with existing literature, we included measures on sociodemographics, maternal mental health, and contextual life stress. Although sociodemographic variables, such as minority status or education level, not necessarily constitute risk per se, previous research has identified these as relating to regulatory problems (Olsen et al.,
2019). These factors may also co-exist and interact. For instance, ethnic minority status has been associated with elevated risk for mental health issues in the prenatal period in Norway (Shakeel et al.,
2015). As our aim was to study prenatal predictors, several pregnancy-specific risk indicators were also added, such as medication/ alcohol/ nicotine/ snus
1 use in pregnancy, pregnancy-related anxiety, and not wanting to have the baby. The CRI in this study is comprised of 12 risk indicators, all of which were reported, at enrolment in the study, see Table
2. While five of the indicators are dichotomous variables, the continuous variables were dichotomized according to predetermined cut-off scores as recommended in the literature (Ettekal et al.,
2019; Evans et al.,
2013). The following criteria were applied; Education; high school or less (≤ 12 years) was regarded non-optimal. Depression was assessed by the Edinburgh Postnatal Depression Scale (Cox & Holden,
2003; Murray & Cox,
1990). EPDS ≥ 10 was considered non-optimal, in line with validated clinical cut-off in Norway (Eberhard-Gran et al.,
2001). Pregnancy-related anxiety, PRAQ-R (Huizink et al.,
2004) was assessed, with a PRAQ-
R > 30 being regarded as non-optimal. For the PRAQ-R, there is no established cut-off, but a cut-off of 30 leaves roughly 20% of our sample in the risk category. This estimate may be a bit on the conservative side (Chandra & Nanjundaswamy,
2020). Life stress was assessed by Parenting Stress Index, life stress subscale (PSI, LS) (Abidin,
1995). PSI LS ≥ 17 was considered non-optimal, in accordance with the PSI manual for clinical referral (Abidin,
1995, p. 12). Problematic drinking habits were assessed by TWEAK (Russell,
1994; Russell et al.,
1996). TWEAK ≥ 2 was regarded as non-optimal, in accordance with empirical findings and common clinical practice (Russell et al.,
1996). Adverse Childhood Experiences (ACE) (Felitti et al.,
1998) was assessed retrospectively by the ACE scale. ACE > 1 was regarded non-optimal. Although no cut-off exists for the ACE form, studies indicate that exposure to one ACE category significantly increases exposure to additional such categories (Dong et al.,
2004). This cut-off has also been applied in previous research (Helmikstøl et al.,
2023). All other risk items were framed within a “yes”/ “no” format. Ethnic minority, no intention to co-habit with partner after birth, not wanting this child, daily smoking/ snus use in pregnancy, previous psychopathology, as well as any use of prescribed medication in pregnancy, were regarded non-optimal. These were further dummy coded as 0 (risk absent) and 1 (risk present), in accordance with common cumulative risk practice (Evans et al.,
2013).
Dysregulation.Infant-Toddler Social and Emotional Assessment (ITSEA) assesses social and emotional functioning in children between 12 and 36 months of age (Carter et al.,
2003). Adequate psychometric qualities are documented, even at the lower age limits (Sanner et al.,
2016). Parents rate their children on a 3-point scale; “not true”/ “rarely” (0), “somewhat true”/ “sometimes” (1), or “very true”/ “often” (2), with higher scores indicating more regulatory problems. The Dysregulation Domain is composed of subscales on negative emotionality (13 questions), sleeping (5 questions), eating (9 questions), and sensory sensitivity (7 questions), 34 items in total (Carter et al.,
2003). ITSEA was first administered at 18 months and again at 3 years. Subscales showed moderate to good internal reliability; negative emotionality α = 0.77 (18 months), α = 0.83 (3 years), sleeping problems α = 0.67 (18 months), α = 0.54 (3 years), eating problems α = 0.72 (18 months), α = 0.78 (3 years), and sensory sensitivity α = 0.50 (18 months), and α = 0.49 (3 years). For the full dysregulation domain, reliability was α = 0.76 at 18 months, and α = 0.83 at 3 years.