Introduction
Methods
Study sample
Measures
Exposures
Outcomes
Covariates
Statistical analyses
Sensitivity and subgroup analyses
Results
Base case analysis
Variables | Wave 13, N (%) | Wave 17, N (%) | Wave 21, N (%) | |||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ALL | NONE | INS | DEP | BOTH | ALL | NONE | INS | DEP | BOTH | ALL | NONE | INS | DEP | BOTH | ||
N (%) | 10,324 (100.0) | 6,998 (68.8) | 1,151 (11.3) | 1,184 (11.6) | 833 (8.2) | 10,324 (100.0) | 6,537 (66.7) | 1,170 (11.9) | 1,206 (12.3) | 887 (9.1) | 10,324 (100.0) | 5,987 (61.9) | 1,156 (12.0) | 1,475 (15.3) | 1,054 (10.9) | |
Utility scores Mean (SD) | 0.662 (0.236) | 0.740 (0.174) | 0.642 (0.210) | 0.458 (0.228) | 0.338 (0.256) | 0.641 (0.246) | 0.729 (0.182) | 0.612 (0.216) | 0.445 (0.235) | 0.309 (0.256) | 0.612 (0.253) | 0.711 (0.186) | 0.613 (0.212) | 0.441 (0.237) | 0.299 (0.248) | |
Age Mean (SD) | 45.7 (16.5) | 46.1 (16.8) | 47.1 (15.8) | 42.7 (16.0) | 44.8 (15.2) | 49.7 (16.5) | 50.5 (16.6) | 51.4 (15.7) | 46.5 (16.4) | 47.1 (14.9) | 53.7 (16.5) | 55.1 (16.4) | 54.8 (15.6) | 50.1 (16.4) | 50.9 (15.3) | |
Sex | Male | 4,691 (45.4) | 3,354 (47.9) | 451 (39.2) | 512 (43.2) | 306 (36.7) | 4,691 (45.4) | 3,113 (47.6) | 463 (39.6) | 538 (44.6) | 335 (37.8) | 4,691 (45.4) | 2,870 (47.9) | 472 (40.8) | 636 (43.1) | 391 (37.1) |
Female | 5,633 (54.6) | 36,44 (52.1) | 700 (60.8) | 672 (56.8) | 527 (63.3) | 5,633 (54.6) | 3,424 (52.4) | 707 (60.4) | 668 (55.4) | 552 (62.2) | 5,633 (54.6) | 3,117 (52.1) | 684 (59.2) | 839 (56.9) | 663 (62.9) | |
Education level | High | 2,947 (28.6) | 2,168 (31.0) | 291 (25.3) | 294 (24.8) | 170 (20.4) | 3,280 (31.8) | 2,250 (34.4) | 337 (28.8) | 376 (31.2) | 189 (21.3) | 3,416 (33.1) | 2,130 (35.6) | 354 (30.6) | 478 (32.4) | 281 (26.7) |
Middle | 5,027 (48.7) | 3,394 (48.5) | 566 (49.2) | 605 (51.1) | 397 (47.7) | 4,877 (47.3) | 3,013 (46.1) | 573 (49.0) | 568 (47.1) | 454 (51.2) | 4,810 (46.6) | 2,738 (45.8) | 561 (48.5) | 694 (47.1) | 510 (48.4) | |
Low | 2,345 (22.7) | 1,432 (20.5) | 293 (25.5) | 285 (24.1) | 266 (31.9) | 2,162 (21.0) | 1,270 (19.4) | 259 (22.2) | 262 (21.7) | 244 (27.5) | 2,093 (20.3) | 1,114 (18.6) | 241 (20.8) | 303 (20.5) | 263 (25.0) | |
Marital status | Partnered | 7,210 (69.8) | 5,095 (72.8) | 813 (70.6) | 705 (59.5) | 494 (59.3) | 7,340 (71.1) | 4,835 (74.0) | 869 (74.3) | 752 (62.4) | 552 (62.2) | 7,294 (70.7) | 4,465 (74.6) | 853 (73.9) | 969 (65.7) | 630 (59.8) |
Non-partnered | 3,114 (30.2) | 1,903 (27.2) | 338 (29.4) | 479 (40.5) | 339 (40.7) | 2,983 (28.9) | 1,701 (26.0) | 301 (25.7) | 454 (37.6) | 335 (37.8) | 3,027 (29.3) | 1,521 (25.4) | 302 (26.1) | 506 (34.3) | 423 (40.2) | |
English as 2nd language | Yes | 9,279 (89.9) | 6,280 (89.8) | 1,066 (92.6) | 1,037 (87.6) | 758 (91.0) | 9,279 (89.9) | 5,869 (89.8) | 1,086 (92.8) | 1051 (87.2) | 823 (92.8) | 9,279 (89.9) | 5,357 (89.5) | 5,357 (89.5) | 1,307 (88.6) | 970 (92.0) |
No | 1,044 (10.1) | 717 (10.2) | 85 (7.4) | 147 (12.4) | 75 (9.0) | 1,044 (10.1) | 668 (10.2) | 84 (7.2) | 154 (12.8) | 64 (7.2) | 1,044 (10.1) | 630 (10.5) | 630 (10.5) | 168 (11.4) | 84 (8.0) | |
Employment status | Employed | 6,974 (67.6) | 4956 (70.8) | 755 (65.6) | 736 (62.2) | 444 (53.3) | 6,769 (65.6) | 4,477 (68.5) | 733 (62.6) | 770 (63.8) | 471 (53.1) | 6,319 (61.2) | 3,766 (62.9) | 684 (59.2) | 888 (60.2) | 592 (56.2) |
Unemployed/ Not in the labour force | 3,350 (32.4) | 2042 (29.2) | 396 (34.4) | 448 (37.8) | 389 (46.7) | 3,555 (34.4) | 2,060 (31.5) | 437 (37.4) | 436 (36.2) | 416 (46.9) | 4,005 (38.8) | 2,221 (37.1) | 472 (40.8) | 587 (39.8) | 462 (43.8) | |
Household income Mean (SD) (per A$10,000) | 11.6 (10.2) | 12.2 (10.5) | 11.4 (10.6) | 10.3 (9.3) | 9.5 (8.1) | 12.4 (12.6) | 13.2 (13.6) | 12.0 (11.7) | 11.1 (10.6) | 10.2 (9.9) | 13.5 (12.6) | 14.2 (13.6) | 13.0 (10.5) | 12.4 (9.2) | 11.9 (11.1) | |
Social support | Medium-High | 6,721 (66.2) | 5,270 (76.3) | 751 (66.5) | 396 (34.1) | 219 (26.7) | 6,448 (65.9) | 4,959 (77.4) | 775 (67.2) | 393 (33.5) | 225 (26.0) | 6,048 (62.3) | 4,412 (74.4) | 725 (63.4) | 534 (36.8) | 318 (30.4) |
Low | 3,436 (33.8) | 1,633 (23.7) | 378 (33.5) | 764 (65.9) | 602 (73.3) | 3,341 (34.1) | 1,451 (22.6) | 378 (32.8) | 780 (66.5) | 640 (74.0) | 3,660 (37.7) | 1,517 (25.6) | 418 (36.6) | 919 (63.2) | 728 (69.6) | |
Major life events | No | 3,958 (39.4) | 2,848 (41.6) | 404 (36.0) | 416 (36.3) | 239 (29.8) | 4,141 (42.4) | 2,898 (45.2) | 445 (39.0) | 417 (35.6) | 285 (33.1) | 4,341 (44.8) | 2,823 (47.6) | 503 (44.0) | 594 (41.0) | 352 (34.2) |
Yes | 6,100 (60.6) | 3,995 (58.4) | 718 (64.0) | 730 (63.7) | 564 (70.2) | 5,637 (57.6) | 3,510 (54.8) | 696 (61.0) | 755 (64.4) | 576 (66.9) | 5,359 (55.2) | 3,112 (52.4) | 639 (56.0) | 856 (59.0) | 676 (65.8) | |
Sleep medication | No | 9,400 (91.6) | 6,681 (95.8) | 954 (83.0) | 1,045 (88.7) | 606 (73.1) | 9,045 (91.0) | 6,208 (95.3) | 980 (84.3) | 1,049 (87.6) | 652 (74.0) | 8,663 (88.8) | 5,623 (94.2) | 929 (80.4) | 1,242 (85.1) | 768 (73.0) |
Yes | 867 (8.4) | 294 (4.2) | 196 (17.0) | 133 (11.3) | 223 (26.9) | 897 (9.0) | 303 (4.7) | 183 (15.7) | 149 (12.4) | 229 (26.0) | 1,094 (11.2) | 344 (5.8) | 227 (19.6) | 218 (14.9) | 284 (27.0) | |
Depression medication | No | 9,811 (95.0) | 6,840 (97.7) | 1,106 (96.1) | 1,052 (88.9) | 667 (80.1) | 9,525 (92.3) | 6,320 (96.7) | 1,106 (94.5) | 994 (82.4) | 644 (72.6) | 9,317 (90.2) | 5,731 (95.7) | 1,080 (93.4) | 1,181 (80.1) | 756 (71.7) |
Yes | 513 (5.0) | 158 (2.3) | 45 (3.9) | 132 (11.1) | 166 (19.9) | 799 (7.7) | 217 (3.3) | 64 (5.5) | 212 (17.6) | 243 (27.4) | 1,007 (9.8) | 256 (4.3) | 76 (6.6) | 294 (19.9) | 298 (28.3) | |
Chronic pain | No | 9,527 (92.3) | 6,663 (95.2) | 1,018 (88.4) | 1,062 (89.7) | 646 (77.6) | 9,326 (90.3) | 6,155 (94.2) | 996 (85.1) | 1,052 (87.2) | 663 (74.7) | 9,197 (89.1) | 5,575 (93.1) | 997 (86.2) | 1,270 (86.1) | 790 (75.0) |
Yes | 797 (7.7) | 335 (4.8) | 133 (11.6) | 122 (10.3) | 187 (22.4) | 998 (9.7) | 382 (5.8) | 174 (14.9) | 154 (12.8) | 224 (25.3) | 1,127 (10.9) | 412 (6.9) | 159 (13.8) | 205 (13.9) | 264 (25.0) | |
Serious physical illnesses | No | 6,253 (60.6) | 4,449 (63.6) | 609 (52.9) | 700 (59.1) | 406 (48.7) | 5,845 (56.6) | 3,891 (59.5) | 556 (47.5) | 685 (56.8) | 407 (45.9) | 5,275 (51.1) | 3,192 (53.3) | 511 (44.2) | 788 (53.4) | 427 (40.5) |
Yes | 4,071 (39.4) | 2,549 (36.4) | 542 (47.1) | 484 (40.9) | 427 (51.3) | 4,479 (43.4) | 2,646 (40.5) | 614 (52.5) | 521 (43.2) | 480 (54.1) | 5,049 (48.9) | 2,795 (46.7) | 645 (55.8) | 687 (46.6) | 627 (59.5) | |
Obesity | No | 7,540 (75.3) | 5,297 (77.9) | 795 (70.5) | 838 (73.6) | 507 (63.5) | 7,027 (72.3) | 4,765 (74.9) | 786 (68.7) | 820 (70.8) | 500 (59.4) | 6,688 (69.0) | 4,293 (72.7) | 746 (65.2) | 964 (66.6) | 580 (56.0) |
Yes | 2,474 (24.7) | 1,507 (22.1) | 332 (29.5) | 300 (26.4) | 291 (36.5) | 2,698 (27.7) | 1,600 (25.1) | 358 (31.3) | 339 (29.2) | 342 (40.6) | 3,010 (31.0) | 1,610 (27.3) | 398 (34.8) | 483 (33.4) | 456 (44.0) | |
Diet quality | Good | 3,267 (34.1) | 2,408 (37.0) | 351 (32.3) | 273 (24.9) | 199 (25.9) | 2,958 (32) | 2,066 (34.5) | 360 (32.6) | 276 (24.7) | 197 (23.6) | 2,501 (27.7) | 1,681 (30.7) | 289 (27.0) | 308 (22.9) | 184 (18.6) |
Poor | 6,319 (65.9) | 4,101 (63.0) | 737 (67.7) | 823 (75.1) | 568 (74.1) | 6,285 (68) | 3,928 (65.5) | 743 (67.4) | 841 (75.3) | 639 (76.4) | 6,523 (72.3) | 3,803 (69.3) | 783 (73.0) | 1,035 (77.1) | 804 (81.4) | |
Physical activity | High frequency | 3,617 (35.1) | 2,709 (38.8) | 349 (30.4) | 319 (27.0) | 181 (21.8) | 3,231 (32.5) | 2,374 (36.4) | 342 (29.3) | 307 (25.5) | 160 (18.1) | 3,345 (34) | 2,344 (39.2) | 355 (30.7) | 389 (26.4) | 208 (19.7) |
Low frequency | 6,688 (64.9) | 4,280 (61.2) | 798 (69.6) | 861 (73.0) | 650 (78.2) | 6,722 (67.5) | 4,156 (63.6) | 825 (70.7) | 897 (74.5) | 726 (81.9) | 6,506 (66) | 3,638 (60.8) | 800 (69.3) | 1,086 (73.6) | 846 (80.3) | |
Alcohol use | Low risk | 8,736 (85.1) | 5,896 (84.8) | 954 (83.1) | ,1032 (87.6) | 721 (87.1) | 8,381 (84.6) | 5,435 (83.7) | 974 (83.7) | 1,057 (88.2) | 771 (87.3) | 8,201 (83.4) | 4,918 (82.3) | 955 (82.8) | 1,266 (86.1) | 904 (85.8) |
High risk | 1,526 (14.9) | 1,056 (15.2) | 194 (16.9) | 146 (12.4) | 107 (12.9) | 1,527 (15.4) | 1,062 (16.3) | 190 (16.3) | 141 (11.8) | 112 (12.7) | 1,636 (16.6) | 1,059 (17.7) | 198 (17.2) | 205 (13.9) | 149 (14.2) | |
Smoking | Never/Former smoker | 8,567 (83.3) | 6,027 (86.4) | 923 (80.5) | 923 (78.3) | 582 (70.1) | 8,470 (85.3) | 5,753 (88.4) | 965 (82.8) | 964 (80.3) | 657 (74.3) | 85,55 (87.1) | 53,30 (89.3) | 1,002 (86.9) | 1,236 (83.9) | 837 (79.7) |
Smoker | 1,717 (16.7) | 945 (13.6) | 224 (19.5) | 256 (21.7) | 248 (29.9) | 1,454 (14.7) | 757 (11.6) | 201 (17.2) | 237 (19.7) | 227 (25.7) | 12,71 (12.9) | 637 (10.7) | 151 (13.1) | 238 (16.1) | 213 (20.3) | |
Life changed by Covid | Not impacted | 955 (27.6) | 621 (8.9) | 102 (8.9) | 121 (10.2) | 86 (10.3) | ||||||||||
Impacted with a great extent | 2,505 (72.4) | 1,614 (23.1) | 301 (26.2) | 307 (26.0) | 246 (29.5) | |||||||||||
Impacted with a moderate extent | 3,651 (51.3) | 2,527 (36.1) | 394 (34.3) | 414 (35.0) | 260 (31.2) | |||||||||||
Impacted with a great extent | 3,207 (34.3) | 2,234 (31.9) | 353 (30.7) | 340 (28.8) | 241 (28.9) |
Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | Model 4 | Model 5 | Model 6 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fixed effects | ||||||
Intercept | 0.709 (0.706–0.713)*** | 0.835 (0.828–0.843)*** | 0.837 (0.830–0.844)*** | 0.865 (0.856–0.874)*** | 0.903 (0.893–0.913)*** | 0.902 (0.888–0.916)*** |
Insomnia | -0.078 (-0.084 – -0.071)*** | -0.077 (-0.083 – -0.070)*** | -0.066 (-0.073 – -0.060)*** | -0.061 (-0.067 – -0.055)*** | -0.058 (-0.064 – -0.051)*** | -0.058 (-0.064 – -0.051)*** |
Depression | -0.231 (-0.237 – -0.225)*** | -0.238 (-0.244 – -0.231)*** | -0.233 (-0.239 – -0.227)*** | -0.213 (-0.219 – -0.207)*** | -0.21 (-0.217 – -0.204)*** | -0.210 (-0.216 – -0.203)*** |
Insomnia*depression | -0.029 (-0.040 – -0.018)*** | -0.029 (-0.040 – -0.019)*** | -0.022 (-0.033 – -0.012)*** | -0.023 (-0.033 – -0.013)*** | -0.024 (-0.034 – -0.013)*** | -0.023 (-0.034 – -0.013)*** |
Age (centring at 18) | -0.003 (-0.004 – -0.003)*** | -0.002 (-0.002 – -0.002)*** | -0.002 (-0.002 – -0.001)*** | -0.002 (-0.002 – -0.002)*** | -0.002 (-0.002 – -0.002)*** | |
Sex (Female) | -0.031 (-0.037 – -0.025)*** | -0.024 (-0.029 – -0.019)*** | -0.024 (-0.029 – -0.018)*** | -0.022 (-0.027 – -0.016)*** | -0.021 (-0.027 – -0.016)*** | |
Serious physical illnesses | -0.051 (-0.056 – -0.046)*** | -0.045 (-0.050 – -0.040)*** | -0.045 (-0.050 – -0.040)*** | -0.045 (-0.050 – -0.040)*** | ||
Obesity | -0.041 (-0.046 – -0.035)*** | -0.037 (-0.042 – -0.032)*** | -0.032 (-0.037 – -0.027)*** | -0.032 (-0.037 – -0.027)*** | ||
Chronic pain | -0.177 (-0.184 – -0.170)*** | -0.172 (-0.180 – -0.165)*** | -0.169 (-0.177 – -0.162)*** | -0.169 (-0.177 – -0.162)*** | ||
Education (Medium) | -0.01 (-0.016 – -0.004)*** | -0.007 (-0.013 – -0.001)* | -0.008 (-0.014 – -0.002)* | |||
Education (Low) | -0.015 (-0.022 – -0.007)*** | -0.006 (-0.014–0.002) | -0.007 (-0.014–0.001) | |||
Non-partnered | -0.011 (-0.016 – -0.005)*** | -0.010 (-0.016 – -0.005)*** | -0.010 (-0.015 – -0.005)*** | |||
English as 2nd language | -0.012 (-0.021 – -0.003)* | -0.006 (-0.015–0.003) | -0.005 (-0.014–0.004) | |||
Unemployed or not in the labour force | -0.038 (-0.043 – -0.033)*** | -0.04 (-0.046 – -0.035)*** | -0.04 (-0.046 – -0.035)*** | |||
Income (A$10,000) | 0.001 (0.000–0.001)*** | 0.000 (0.000–0.001)*** | 0.000 (0.000–0.001)*** | |||
Low social support | -0.052 (-0.057 – -0.047)*** | -0.050 (-0.055 – -0.045)*** | -0.050 (-0.055 – -0.045)*** | |||
Major life events | -0.024 (-0.028 – -0.020)*** | -0.024 (-0.028 – -0.020)*** | -0.024 (-0.028 – -0.020)*** | |||
Low diet quality | -0.012 (-0.017 – -0.007)*** | -0.012 (-0.017 – -0.007)*** | ||||
Low frequency of physical activity | -0.045 (-0.049 – -0.040)*** | -0.045 (-0.049 – -0.040)*** | ||||
Smoking | -0.017 (-0.024 – -0.010)*** | -0.017 (-0.024 – -0.010)*** | ||||
High-risk alcohol use | 0.013 (0.007–0.020)*** | 0.013 (0.007–0.020)*** | ||||
Life changed by Covid (Great extent) | -0.009 (-0.020–0.001) | |||||
Life changed by Covid (Moderate extent) | 0.004 (-0.006–0.014) | |||||
Life changed by Covid (Little extent) | 0.004 (-0.006–0.014) | |||||
Random effect | ||||||
Level-2 variance | 0.020 | 0.020 | 0.019 | 0.019 | 0.019 | 0.019 |
Level-1 variance | 0.021 | 0.018 | 0.012 | 0.010 | 0.010 | 0.010 |
Summary | ||||||
No. participants | 10,315 | 10,315 | 10,281 | 10,228 | 10,043 | 10,038 |
No. observations | 29,163 | 29,163 | 28,462 | 27,549 | 25,399 | 25,390 |
Marginal R-squared | 0.246 | 0.307 | 0.418 | 0.455 | 0.471 | 0.472 |
Conditional R-squared | 0.630 | 0.634 | 0.638 | 0.648 | 0.654 | 0.655 |